My pm box is busy with people, wondering if I have given up on AR and the eCat. The answer is, No. That said, I do not wish to report on such a potentially important subject unless I can do so with all engines running. Although eCatNews appears to be popular, there were no offers to my request for help in running it. To do the site justice, I often read, research and write on a full-time basis and span the 24 hour clock. After almost a year, I do not grudge that work. It is a priviledge to be involved in some small way in helping fellow obsessives and potential investors find their way through the mass of information and misinformation coming at us from all directions.
It would be easy to simply post whatever anyone says about the subject. Ironically it takes time to post less. If eCatNews is to be useful, it requires full attention. I will only make that commitment while I am confident that I can bring value to its readers and that I am not steering them down false paths. The stakes are too high.
While I do not accuse Andrea Rossi or Defkalion of fraud, I cannot tell the difference between their actions and the eternal shifting promise of certain dodgy schemes of the past. If I had the resources, I would use them to find out the truth but I do not. There are so many people close to AR and Defkalion that it is inconceivable for all to be unaware of that truth. If there is no million-unit factory, someone close knows this and is scratching their head. That they would all then bury it in the sand is hard to believe. Can we therefore deduce that it must be true? Unfortunately, no. While I think too many hardened sceptics act on belief in place of logic, I agree with their take on the powerful tendency for people to delude themselves. That is not an insult; I include myself.
If Rossi and/or Defkalion are on the level, we will soon know (there’s that word again… “Soon” [You said it was just around the corner, Daddy!]) but my scepticism will remain strong until they deliver on their promises.
The case for LENR, in my opinion, is entirely different and I appreciate the scientific arguments here from both sides of the fence. The case against seems to be this:
We are not sure, so we will not investigate.
Given the potential prize, this is the greatest delusion of all.
eCatNews is unique in trying to bring all sides of the discussion together – where genuine, honest and healthy scepticism is encouraged along with its optimistic sibling.
Our energy needs are small and the solution is out there for the taking. Neither the eCat nor LENR is too good to be true (if the eCat falls, this statement still stands). Someday, we will reach a metaphorical finger to the sky and tap a fraction of the energy available as the planet screams across the universe. On that day, cold fusion’s stitch-up will be history and the technology of the day will seem a fantasy now. It may or may not include LENR in the mix.
The journey and the fight in getting there will pass through many fronts. This is one of them. The men and women at the coal face need help. It is tough enough dealing with the inevitable dead ends at the head of any pioneering research but they do so on an uneven playing field.
Right now, the best service eCatNews can offer its readers is to act as a focus for cautious hope with regard to any single group and a forum for realistic exploration of the field as a whole. I want to encourage a real effort by those who hold the levers in business and politics to do something meaningful. If a fraction of the enviromental costs of fossil and current nuclear fuels is put into the hunt for the future miracle we know is waiting for us, that future will speed our way. Bring to the table the cost of war and diplomacy, bribes and corruption, theft and political lobbying and the true waste is astonishing. One of our greatest triumphs is the scientific method and one of our greatest failures is the lack of support for a scientific push into the one thing that would change everything. If it takes trillions, we should spend trillions. It is that important.
While the eCat or Hyperion offers even a small hope of leveraging that effort, I am happy to wait. If Defkalion proves nothing by the end of summer, I will lose interest in anything they say.
I intend to use this lull to catch up on my work. The instant credible evidence comes our way, eCatNews will commit to helping whoever gives it.